Zayavka na samoubiystvo. Zachem Ukraine
NATO?/An Application for Suicide. Why Ukraine needs NATO?/Dmitriy Tabachnik,
Petr Simonenko, Sergey Grinevetskiy, Georgiy Kryuchkov. - Dovira, Kyiv: Folio, ?Kharkiv, 2009. – 445 pages. (ISBN 978-966-5-0-249-2 and 978-966-03-4735-9.
(In Russian).
The
book is a collection of analytical
articles composed by five Ukrainian academics and politicians representing a
range of political parties of the left and central orientation. The main
subject is Ukraine’s relations with NATO and the broader outcomes of a
potential NATO membership for Ukraine’s foreign policy identity and its
relations with Russia. In addition to the main collection of in-depth articles
composed by five main contributors, the book also contains the Russian
translation of the North-Atlantic Treaty (Washington DC, April 1949), and
several smaller commentaries by other Ukrainian scholars, journalists, and
politicians. When reading the book it is important to consider the political
context in which it was published, - a
year before the upcoming presidential election of 2010, and several years after
the Orange Revolution and the election of Victor Yuschenko as the President of
Ukraine in 2004. Hence, the tone of the discussions and analysis is often too politicized and propagandist.
Nevertheless, the book offers a good perspective regarding the political views
of a significant part of the Ukrainian
political community and, perhaps, a significant part of the Ukrainian
population. After the 2010 presidential
and parliamentary elections that followed the publication of the book, most of
the political forces whose opinions are presented obtained political representation and direct access to
power. Not surprisingly, as of today, many of the foreign and domestic policy proposals
discussed in the book have been implemented.
The
title of the book “An Application for Suicide. Why Ukraine needs NATO?” speaks
for itself. Hence, all the expert opinions portray a very negative opinion
about NATO as an organization of international security and a very negative view
regarding Ukraine’s potential membership
in the Alliance. All the authors seem to agree that not only would Ukraine not benefit from such a step, but NATO
membership would also jeopardize Ukraine’s political future, violate its territorial
and political integrity, and fundamentally worsen relations with Russia. The
latter seems to be the most important argument against membership. Instead, the book recommends that
Ukraine should seek for a policy of
non-alignment that would imply improving the relations with its most strategic
partner (Russia) as well as keeping good relations with the West. This balanced
position is considered the most appropriate foreign policy vector for Ukraine.
Additionally, of particular concern for many of the book authors, is the
involvement of the United States in Ukrainian domestic and foreign affairs,
which in their opinion has had negative outcomes for Ukraine.
The
first major contributor is Georgiy Krychkov – the member of the Communist Party
of Ukraine. His analysis starts by criticizing Ukraine’s distancing itself from
Russia and other Soviet Republics after the collapse of the Soviet Union. It was
an unwise political choice. Moreover, Ukraine’s foreign policy and its
relations with Russia were proscribed by the U.S. House Committee Resolution 120
“In support of Ukraine’s independence” adopted in 1996. The resolution focused
on Ukraine’s sovereignty and its distancing from the former Soviet satellites as
well as distancing from Soviet-style
political institutions. In Mr. Kryuchkov’s opinion the very fact of such a resolution
is the example of the outright interference of another state in the internal
and external affairs of independent Ukraine. Hence, further actions of
Ukraine’s government, such as the dismantling of Ukraine’s nuclear arsenal,
only weakened the country’s military capacity and did not produce any of the desired
political outcomes. The development of the Ukraine own military has also
suffered from the repeated economic crises and worsening social problems.
Hence, current conditions of the Ukrainian military complex are unsatisfactory.
Mr.
Kryuchkov argues that Ukraine has special significance for Russia-U.S. relations, and President
Yuschenko’s pro-NATO position on this issue appears to have been very harmful
for Ukraine. Moreover, it does not reflect the opinion of the majority of the Ukrainian
population that has held a generally negative perception of NATO.
Alternatively, Mr. Kryuchkov argues, Ukraine should develop a more balanced
foreign policy approach. The closest foreign policy model was under former Ukraine’s president, Leonid Kuchma. At
the same time, president Yuschenko’s policies significantly worsened
Ukraine-Russia relations, as evidenced by gas conflicts, the situation with the
Russian Black Sea Fleet, and the worsening of Ukraine’s exports to Russia. Hence,
current Ukrainian policies cause more problems than solutions.
According
to Mr. Kryuchkov, NATO’s interest in Ukraine includes using Ukraine’s soldiers
for the Alliance’s military operations; using Ukrainian military aviation; and
taking advantage of Ukraine’s territory
and its geopolitical position. At the same time, Ukraine’s benefits are
unclear. Since the Ukraine-NATO ten-year partnership has not really resulted in substantial
achievements in the military sphere, the question is whether we can expect
anything to change in the long-run. Moreover, although the government has spent
significant amounts of time and efforts for pro-NATO propaganda, public opinion remains negative. Finally, Mr.
Kryuchkov argues that Ukraine’s membership in the Alliance will not strengthen
its independence. If anything, it will worsen Ukraine’s relations with Russia,
which will negatively impact Ukraine’s economy. Hence, instead of partnering
with NATO, Ukraine should take a closer look at its internal affairs and
concentrate on such issues as the deterioration of industry and scientific
research; energy dependence;
environmental issues; utilization of old
military equipment; and too much foreign investment in the strategic sectors of
Ukraine’s economy and large-scale
privatization.
The
second contributor is Dmitriy Tabachnik, a historian and the current Minister
of Education and Science of Ukraine. Dr. Tabachnik starts his essay by
analyzing early relations between Ukraine and NATO established by Leonid
Kuchma. Thus, a balanced foreign policy
and partnership with NATO were justified
at the early stages of Ukraine’s independence because Yeltsin’s Russia was a
politically unstable partner. However, the situation changed when Russia got a
new president, who managed to achieve political, economic and military
supremacy in the region. As a result, Russia stopped being a threat to Ukraine.
Therefore, in his last months of office,
Leonid Kuchma removed Ukraine’s goal of NATO
membership from the country’s military
doctrine. At the same time, NATO itself, mainly the United States, had started
displaying growing interest in Ukraine.
Dr.
Tabachnik argues that from then on, both Ukrainian politicians and their
Western partners have been covering Ukraine-NATO relations with numerous lies.
This includes the massive campaign to discredit the image of Leonid Kuchma, the
substitution of the goal of European integration with the goal of joining NATO,
and spreading wrong information about NATO’s goals. The latter misinformation
includes portraying NATO not as a military organization but as a humanitarian
organization; portraying the Alliance as a club that each country needs to join
if it wishes to join the European Union; falsifying NATO’s impact on military
expenses and exaggerating military benefits; portraying NATO as an instrument
for democracy and anti-corruption reforms; denying the fact that NATO will
eventually locate its military bases in Ukraine (and thus denying NATO’s impact
on Ukraine’s relations with Russia); denying Russia’s right to express its
opinion; and saying that NATO would guarantee the destiny of Crimea, as a
territory that would otherwise be captured by Russia. Dr. Tabachnik attempts to
refute these stereotypes, by showing that if anything it is the United States,
not Russia that tries to exert a destructive political influence on Ukraine by
involving the country in political and military conflicts and worsening its
relations with its immediate neighbor. Like
the previous author, Dr. Tabachnik says that NATO membership benefits for
Ukraine would be minimal; however, negative outcomes would be significant. He
further uses the example of France and its relations with the satellite
countries on the eve of World War II.
While France supported the formation of the Small Entente, when it came to the
real German threat, the country did not stand for its smaller European satellite
countries. Thus, the destiny of small satellites (like Ukraine) is not
necessarily determined by their alliance with the bigger partner (NATO).
Additionally, Tabachnik uses the example of the expansion of Nazi Germany, and
shows how this analogy could be applicable to the expansion of NATO – the
dangerous process that might have negative long-term outcomes.
Finally,
the author discusses the role of Sevastopol, as a strategic city that ensures
control over the Black Sea Region and access to the Caucasus. Control over
Sevastopol is important not only because of its naval capacities but also as a
symbol of independence, freedom, and Ukraine-Russia unity – the symbolic role that
Sevastopol gained over the course of its history. Particularly, the Russian
Black Sea Fleet is the only capable naval agent that protects Ukraine’s
security (Ukraine’s own fleet is weak). One potential threat comes from
Romania, and in this regard the role of the Russia Fleet is crucial. Moreover,
Sevastopol’s economy is so dependent on the Russian Fleet that it would
completely collapse in case of its permanent withdrawal. Lastly, Dr. Tabachnik
argues that Ukraine’s involvement in Georgia-Russia conflict in 2008, including
both the political support of Georgian president and supplying the military
equipment, significantly worsened Ukraine-Russia relations. Overall, Ukrainian
foreign policy carried out by all its Presidents had been the policy of lost
opportunities – a tendency that is both harmful and dangerous.
The
third contributor is Petr Simonenko- the leader of the Communist Party of
Ukraine. He starts his essay by discussing the events of Russia-Georgia War of
2008, as an event that should force Ukrainian society to think more carefully
about the historical roots of the war and its modern causes. Learning a lesson
from Georgia’s negative example is important for Ukraine. Simonenko’s analysis
is based on the premise that the presence of too strong nationalist political
forces in any country is likely to lead to negative and even dangerous
outcomes. One such example was the triumph of the National Socialist Party in
Germany. Another example is the case of the Soviet Union dissolution, where
radical nationalist movements made sure to destroy the strong political,
economic, and cultural ties existing between the Soviet Republics. Hence, Mr.
Symonenko is not surprised that the United States and the transnational
corporations are supportive of the nationalist right-wing movements in the
countries of Central and Eastern Europe.
He
further analyzes two major vectors of the American foreign policy (Pax
Americana endorsed by Republicans and Pax Globalist endorsed by Democrats). He
says that although these doctrines have slight differences, they nevertheless
have the same goal – the construction of a new world order. Symonenko uses the example
of the color revolutions in Eurasia and their failings to illustrate the
weakness of the American doctrine and the problem of foreign influence on domestic political
affairs. In fact, recent frozen conflicts in Kosovo, Tibet, Georgia are not
single events; they are rather a system of well-planned actions aimed at
supporting the economic and political dominance of the American system. Thus, like
the previous author, Mr. Symonenko condemns Ukraine’s political and military
support of the Georgian government during the war of 2008. In summary, he
offers several suggestions from the Communist Party of Ukraine on what to do in
order to improve Ukraine’s domestic situation and foreign positions. These
include: changing the foreign policy approaches by reducing the power of one
leader –the President – in making all important foreign policy decisions; to
adapt the comprehensive law “On the Foundations of Foreign and Domestic Policy
of Ukraine”; to once and for all ‘close’ the issue of NATO membership and to
adapt a non-alignment doctrine; to rely
on Ukrainian military forces for defense
needs versus a foreign military; to
strengthen and develop Ukrainian military capacity; to advance the idea of “new
socialism” by creating a global socialist organization; and finally, to
publicly condemn the politics of nationalism.
The
fourth contributor is Sergey Grinevetskiy, the representative of a centrist
party Lytvyn’s Block. He also starts his essay by drawing the reader’s attention to the Georgian
conflict. The main argument of Mr. Grinevetskiy’s essay is about the value of
the non-alignment philosophy as the best foreign policy doctrine for Ukraine. He
first analyzes the history of the non-alignment doctrine as an institution of
international law, discusses particular cases of non-alignment (such as
Belgium, Austria, Moldova), and three types of non-alignment (permanent,
war-related, and internationally sanctioned and only later domestically
instituted non-alignment – like in the case of Turkmenistan). The author
further discusses specific political conditions conducive to the permanent
non-alignment of Ukraine. Of particular importance is Ukraine’s position in the
Black Sea Region and the presence of ‘frozen’ conflicts in that region. Mr. Grinevetskiy
recognizes that Russia has crucial interests in the region, and therefore is
interested in keeping her influence by all means possible, including military
actions. Hence, Ukraine as a country is captured between Western and Russian
interests in the region, and therefore, for its own best interests, Ukraine
should adopt a non-alignment doctrine.
Mr. Grinevetskiy further analyzes public opinion polls that signify Ukraine’s
public general disapproval of a particular alliance (either with NATO or with
Russia), with 36.6 per cent of people directly supporting non-alignment. Hence, there are objective
preconditions for adopting this doctrine at the political level. Among other,
Mr. Grinevetskiy mentions the negative impact of Ukrainian politics on Ukraine-Russia
relations, particularly evidenced by Ukraine’s military support of Georgia that
directly violated the Ukraine-Russia partnership agreement signed in 1997.
The
fifth contributor is Petr Tolochko – a former member of Tymoshenko Block and a
current member of the independent civic organization “New Ukraine” since 2009.
Dr. Tolochko’s essay is dedicated to the social and humanitarian issues pertinent
to Ukraine’s relations with NATO. He starts by discussing a negative portrayal
of Russia and Russian interests in Ukraine by the Ukrainian media, which sounds
more like anti-Russian propaganda rather
than objective information. Then he moves to discuss the issue of the Russian
language in Ukraine that is spoken by 8.5 million people, and yet is being forced
out of the public schools, media and other social institutions. The other
problem described by Dr. Tolochko is the situation with history textbooks used in Ukrainian public
schools. In his opinion, these new textbooks deliberately misinterpret several
important historical events to form negative perceptions about Russia and its
role in Ukrainian history. Finally, the division of powers between Russian and
Ukrainian Orthodox churches supported by the President goes against the
history, and thus does not make much sense. Dr. Tolochko argues that
independence is good for Ukraine; however, he also supports stronger ties with
Russia, as a brother country that shares with Ukraine common history, language,
culture and other important social attributes. In fact, he argues, in some
aspects the histories of Ukraine and Russia are inseparable, and it is not wise
to push the boundaries. In fact, the push of Ukraine towards NATO is another
problem caused by Yuschenko and the Orange government. It only worsened
Ukraine’s relations with both Russia and West. He concludes by saying that national
radicalism is the worst ideology for Ukraine, and Ukrainian leftist parties are
the only political forces in Ukraine that would support a right policy towards
NATO and protect the interests of all Eastern Slavs. Therefore, Dr. Tolochko is
hoping that Ukrainian public support of the leftist parties would grow in the
future.
Generally
speaking, the book “An Application for Suicide. Why Ukraine needs NATO?” is a
good read for scholars interested in the internal political dynamics in Ukraine,
and the relationship between domestic forces and foreign policy outcomes. It
does not offer insights regarding political theories; however, it does provide
some good historic analysis and a pretty accurate portrayal of the leftist and
some centrist Ukrainian ideologies. The major weakness of the book is its
political bias due to the absence of representation of various political
opinions outside of the left-central political spectrum. Although the arguments
presented have merit, the analysis is very much one-sided. Therefore, although
the book is meant to serve the educational purposes for the Ukrainian public,
political elites and academics, the lack of critical analysis and unbalanced
arguments make it more suitable for political propaganda. Part of what explains
this is that the book was sponsored by the opposition parties (when the Orange
Coalition was in office); hence, the
opposition’s opinion of the Ukrainian governmental relations with NATO was
particularly negative. Since the return of opposition parties to the political
mainstream, these parties have managed to alter Ukraine’s foreign policy
objectives including the adoption of a
non-alignment status and a significant reduction of Ukraine’s relations with
the NATO Alliance.